Потенциальное влияние продовольственной инфляции на благосостояние домашних хозяйств: пример Исламской Республики Пакистан
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu05.2023.405Аннотация
Мировой продовольственный кризис 2007–2008 гг. и рост продовольственной инфляции привлекли внимание исследователей к причинам и последствиям волатильности цен на продовольствие во всем мире. Цель написания данной работы заключается в изучении потенциального влияния продовольственной инфляции на благосостояние домашних хозяйств в Пакистане. Для достижения поставленной цели авторами была использована гибкая система почти идеального спроса (LA/AIDS) для оценки структуры спроса на продукты питания с применением доступных данных интегрированного экономического исследования домашних хозяйств Пакистана за 2018–2019 гг. Продовольственные товары были разделены на 13 групп, включая молоко, мясо, фрукты,
овощи, сахар, напитки, крупы, пшеницу, рис, масла и жиры, чай, приправы и хлебобулочные изделия. Расчетная модель использовалась для имитации различных сценариев повышения цен на каждую из групп товаров. Выяснилось, что расчетные потери в потреблении были стабильно высокими для молока, сахара, круп, риса, пшеницы, мяса, масла и жиров. Проблема ограниченного разнообразия в структуре питания и сохраняющаяся продовольственная инфляция, безусловно, приведут к ухудшению продовольственной безопасности страны. Снизить влияние роста общего уровня цен на потребление продуктов питания в современных условиях можно только путем повышения покупательной способности домашних хозяйств. Результаты данного исследования помогут экспертам в сельскохозяйственном секторе разработать надежные схемы, которые позволят контролировать последствия продовольственной инфляции, приводящие к снижению благосостояния домашних хозяйств.
Ключевые слова:
продовольственная инфляция, продовольственная политика, эластичность, продовольственная безопасность, Пакистан
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Статьи журнала «Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Экономика» находятся в открытом доступе и распространяются в соответствии с условиями Лицензионного Договора с Санкт-Петербургским государственным университетом, который бесплатно предоставляет авторам неограниченное распространение и самостоятельное архивирование.
