The Impact of Large Technological Innovations on the Share Prices of Public Companies

Authors

  • Сергей Васильевич Валдайцев St. Petersburg State University, 7–9, Universitetskaya nab., St. Petersburg, 199034, Russian Federation
  • Артем Сергеевич Железнов PricewaterhouseCoopers, 4, Grivtsova lane, St.Petersburg, 190000, Russian Federation

Abstract

In the article, it is shown how expectations of high profits from radical innovations or merely big innovation projects —even if their probability is low due to the innovation risks —create the effect of considerable and long-living growth of the market capitalization of innovating companies. This growth stops only after the innovators have to publish negative commercial results of the relevant innovations. Soon after, the prices for the innovators’ stock fall. Later this cycle can be repeated. The article contains statistics from stock exchanges that confirm the analyzed effect.

Keywords:

innovations, radical and big innovation projects, market capitalization of innovating companies, effect of a «swinging boat», profit expectations, prices for stock, statistics of stock exchanges

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Сергей Васильевич Валдайцев, St. Petersburg State University, 7–9, Universitetskaya nab., St. Petersburg, 199034, Russian Federation

доктор экономических наук, профессор, заведующий кафедрой экономики исследований и разработок

Артем Сергеевич Железнов, PricewaterhouseCoopers, 4, Grivtsova lane, St.Petersburg, 190000, Russian Federation

консультант в отделе аудита компаний финансового сектора «PricewaterhouseCoopers»

References

Литература на русском языке

Валдайцев С. В. Денежные потоки в оценке и управлении стоимостью компаний // Вестн. С.-Петерб. ун-та. Сер. 5: Экономика. 2009. Вып. 3. С. 105–124.

Валдайцев С. В. Управление инновационным бизнесом. М.: ЮНИТИ, 2001. С. 34–37.

На что «Apple» готова потратить 3,9 миллиарда долларов? // DeepApple. URL: http://deepapple.com/news/39195.html .

Портер М. Конкурентные преимущества. М.: Инфра-М, 2003.


References in Latin Alphabet

Evan Blass: Morgan Stanley analysts claim Apple is at work on iPhone. Engadget.com. URL: http://www.engadget.com/2006/03/19/morgan-stanley-analysts-claim-apple-is-at-work-oniphone/9 .

Foxconn said to be tapped to make Apple tablet PC, shipments expected to begin in 1Q10. Digitimes.com. URL: http://www.digitimes.com/NewRegister/join.asp?view=Search&DocID=PD000000000000000000000000011973&query=FOXCONN .

Jade K. Apple’s much-anticipated tablet device coming early next year. Appleinsider.com. URL: http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/09/07/24/apples_much_anticipated_tablet_device_coming_early_next_year.html .

Kane Yu. I. Jobs Maintains Grip at Apple // The Wall Street Journal. URL: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123941988981610781.html .

Katie Marsal : Exclusive: Apple seeks rights to iPhone trademark. Appleinsider.com. URL: http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/06/10/16/exclusive_apple_seeks_rights_to_iphone_trademark.html .

Mansfield E. Microeconomics: 5-th ed. London; New York: Oxford University Press, 1987.

Mensch G. Technologisches Patt: Innovationen bringen aus Krisen. Hamburg, 1979.

Oslo Manual. The Measurement of scientific and technological activities. Proposed guidelines for collecting and interpreting technological innovations data. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2002.

The 50 Most Innovative Companies 2010. Bloomberg BusinessWeek. URL: http://www.businessweek.com/interactive_reports/innovative_companies_2010.html .


Translation of references in Russian into English

Published

2011-03-30

How to Cite

Валдайцев, С. В., & Железнов, А. С. (2011). The Impact of Large Technological Innovations on the Share Prices of Public Companies. St Petersburg University Journal of Economic Studies, (1), 054–071. Retrieved from https://economicsjournal.spbu.ru/article/view/2731

Issue

Section

Finance, Credit, Insurance

Most read articles by the same author(s)